Monday, October 6, 2008

An Obama Blowout?

As I pointed out a few days ago, Barack Obama has taken a clear lead in the Presidential race.

Now it looks like Obama has not just a clear lead, but a solid one that gives him some breathing room, and makes an Obama-blowout scenario more likely.

In the RCP average of national polls Obama leads 50%-44%

Obama has pulled ahead in the crucial swing-states in the mid-west including Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (McCain pulled out of Michigan last week), where some voters were reluctant to support Obama, but have come over to him in the face of the economic crisis.

Obama has also pulled ahead in Virginia, which was recently a Republican state, but has trended Democratic, and is about tied in other Bush states Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Nevada, and North Carolina.

McCain needs something big to happen (an easy debate win would help) to come back, and has gone on the attack against Obama, a move that makes it look like he is getting desperate (Obama is responding with his own negative attacks).

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